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Load-testing for design of structures with Weibull-distributed strengths

机译:具有威布尔分布强度的结构设计的荷载测试

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A new probabilsitic method to determine structural desing strengths from prototype load-testing has been developed specifically for Weibull strength distributions. The new probabilistic method has been evalauted and compared with a statistical prototype proof-loading method for Weibull strength distributions and iwth other probabilistic methods developed for Lognormal strength distributions. The methods have been evalauted and compared for Weibull-distributed strengths, with regard to statistics of the resultant design strengths, the associated safety indices beta, the nominal probabilities of failure and an entropy-based measure of overall uncertainty (accounting for the variability of the nominal probability of failure). The results confirm that the statistical procedure produces conservative design outcomes when it is based on conservative estimates of characteristic strength values, and the probabilistic procedure for Weibull-distributed strengths achieves a mean safety index close to the target value. However, it is shown that a probabilistic procedure developed for Lognormally-distributed strengths produces the most consistent results, even when the strengths are Weibull-distributed.
机译:已经专门针对威布尔强度分布开发了一种通过原型载荷测试确定结构设计强度的新概率方法。新的概率方法已被推崇,并与用于Weibull强度分布的统计原型证明加载方法以及为对数正态强度分布开发的其他概率方法进行了比较。已对方法的威布尔分布强度进行了评估,并对所得的设计强度,相关安全指数beta,失效的标称概率以及基于熵的总体不确定性度量进行了比较(考虑了变量的可变性)。标称故障概率)。结果证实,当统计程序基于特征强度值的保守估计时,统计程序会产生保守的设计结果,而威布尔分布强度的概率程序达到接近目标值的平均安全指数。但是,结果表明,即使对数强度是威布尔分布,为对数正态分布的强度开发的概率过程也会产生最一致的结果。

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