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Projecting Bicycle Demand: An Application of Travel Demand Modelling Techniques to Bicycles

机译：预测自行车需求：旅行需求建模技术在自行车中的应用

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Although much is being done in the arena of bicycle planning, particularly with the infusion of ISTEA money designated for such use, little research has been performed on demand projections for bicycle facilities. Several Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs), including the Sacramento Area Council of Governments (SACOG), the Portland MPO (Metro), and the Bay Area Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) have developed models with varying degrees of predictive capabilities with respect to bicycle travel. But, due to the regional scale of these models, the traffic analysis zone sizes (TAZs) do not lend themselves to projecting bicycle demand on individual streets or corridors. The purpose of this paper is to provide a basic framework for projecting bicycle travel on a citywide basis.
机译：尽管在自行车规划领域已经做了大量工作，尤其是在为这种用途投入了ISTEA资金的情况下，但对自行车设施需求预测的研究很少。萨克拉曼多地区政府理事会（SACOG），波特兰MPO（地铁）和湾区大都会运输委员会（MTC）等几个城市规划组织（MPO）都开发了具有不同程度的自行车出行预测能力的模型。但是，由于这些模型的区域规模，交通分析区域大小（TAZ）并不适合预测单个街道或走廊上的自行车需求。本文的目的是提供一个在全市范围内预测自行车出行的基本框架。

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