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The Dynamics of Agricultural Commodities andTheir Responses to Disruptions of Considerable Magnitude

机译:农业商品的动态及其对大幅度扰动的响应

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An agricultural commodity production cycle model consisting of corn, beef, and dairy sectorswas constructed for the purpose of exploring the propagating effects of large-scale disruptiveevents. In an initial proof-of-concept exercise, we considered an agricultural disruption scenarioin which foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is introduced into the U.S., causing a large-scaleoutbreak of the disease in both beef and dairy cattle. The magnitude of disruption to the beef anddairy sectors are presented under the existing FMD response policy and then improvementsunder two alternative policies are shown.
机译:由玉米,牛肉和奶业组成的农业商品生产周期模型 旨在探究大规模破坏性武器的传播效应 事件。在最初的概念验证活动中,我们考虑了农业破坏的情景 其中口蹄疫(FMD)被引入美国,导致大规模 牛肉和奶牛都爆发了该病。牛肉和牛肉被破坏的程度 根据现有的FMD应对政策介绍乳制品行业,然后进行改进 下面显示了两种替代策略。

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