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Safety Management of Traffic Accident Scene Based on System Dynamics

机译:基于系统动力学的交通事故现场安全管理

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Traffic system is a dynamic complicated one which is constituted of some factors. Traffic accident will happen if these factors mismatch with each other. Safety level of traffic accident scene affects occurrence rate of secondary accident. In order to evaluate safety level of traffic accident scene, prevent from secondary accident happening and protect the policemen, crowds by the scene and party of accidents, studying safety management of traffic accident scene is essential. It was shown that four factors influenced safety management of traffic accident scene, which were human factor, vehicle factor, road and environment factor and management factor. And it put forwards the graph of system causality and flowchart of safety according to the theory of system dynamics. According to the statistical data, expert scoring, and dynamic simulation via Vensim_PLE, the safety level of traffic accident scene was forecasted. In despite of the same investment in every factor, but influences to safety level of traffic accident scene were different. Human factor was the most prominent, vehicle factor was the least. Results provides the scientific reference to the traffic managers and transactors in accident scene.
机译:交通系统是一个动态的,复杂的系统,它由一些因素组成。如果这些因素彼此不匹配,则会发生交通事故。交通事故现场的安全水平会影响二次事故的发生率。为了评估交通事故现场的安全水平,防止二次事故的发生,并保护事故现场和事故现场的警察,人群,研究交通事故现场的安全管理至关重要。结果表明,影响交通事故现场安全管理的四个因素分别是人为因素,车辆因素,道路环境因素和管理因素。并根据系统动力学理论,提出了系统因果关系图和安全流程图。根据统计数据,专家评分和通过Vensim_PLE进行的动态模拟,预测了交通事故现场的安全级别。尽管在各个因素上的投入相同,但是对交通事故现场安全水平的影响却不同。人为因素是最主要的,车辆因素是最小的。结果为事故现场的交通管理人员和交易者提供了科学的参考。

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