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A study on the urban spatial expansion in Fuzhou, Fujian Province of China using the SLEUTH model

机译：基于SLEUTH模型的福建省福州市城市空间扩展研究。

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To better understand the environmental and social problems accompanying the rapid urban growth, the SLEUTH urban growth prototype model was moved from UNIX based into Windows based to simulate the urban growth patterns in the Fuzhou metropolitan area during 1989 to 2003, and then to predict the future growth by 2020. The historic datasets required for the model were derived from the remote sensing images (Landsat TM data in 1989 and 1996, ETM+ data in 2000; and SOPT data in 2003) by using remote sensing and Geographic Information System technologies. Two specific scenarios of different urban growth policies were designed to simulate the spatial patterns of urban growth. The first scenario represents a growth with restriction only on water bodies. The second scenario depicts a controlled growth with additional protections on grass-covered lands and agriculture area. The results show that in contrast to the first scenario, the second scenario well controls the built-up area under the area planned in current urban development policies, and is predicted to lead to more sustainable urban development with less loss of resource lands.
机译：为了更好地理解伴随城市快速增长而带来的环境和社会问题，将SLEUTH城市增长原型模型从基于UNIX的Windows迁移到基于Windows的模型，以模拟1989年至2003年福州都会区的城市增长模式，然后预测未来该模型所需的历史数据集是使用遥感和地理信息系统技术从遥感图像（1989年和1996年的Landsat TM数据，2000年的ETM +数据以及2003年的SOPT数据）获得的。设计了两种不同的城市增长政策情景，以模拟城市增长的空间格局。第一种情况表示仅对水体有限制的增长。第二种情况描述了在草覆盖的土地和农业地区上的受控增长和额外的保护措施。结果表明，与第一种情况相比，第二种情况很好地控制了当前城市发展政策所规划区域内的建成区，并有望在减少资源用地损失的情况下实现更可持续的城市发展。

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