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The Energy Rebound Effect in Chinese Three Industries Based on Technological Progress

机译：基于技术进步的中国三大产业的能源回弹效应

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摘要

Energy rebound effect theory provides supports for energy policies, which has become a hot research direction at home and abroad. In this paper, we conduct empirical research of energy rebound effect using 1978-2007 macroeconomic data at China''s national and three industries level. The results show that: the average energy rebound effect of China during 1979-2006 is 58.24%, a little higher than most developed countries; the energy rebound effect has periodic variations, and these changes are almost entirely consistent with the economic cycles, the energy rebound effects of the three industries are decreasing in turn, which shows that conducting industrial structure adjustment will contribute to energy conservation, adding investment often led to the energy rebound effect size bigger. Therefore, energy conservation can not simply rely on technological progress, but should be supplemented by energy prices and tax and other macro control policies.
机译：能量回弹效应理论为能源政策提供了支撑，已成为国内外研究的热点。在本文中，我们使用1978-2007年中国国家和三个行业的宏观经济数据对能源回弹效应进行了实证研究。结果表明：1979-2006年中国的平均能源回弹效应为58.24％，略高于大多数发达国家。能源回弹效应具有周期性变化，并且这些变化几乎完全与经济周期一致，这三个行业的能源回弹效应依次减小，这表明进行产业结构调整将有助于节能，增加投资往往导致使能量回弹效果的大小更大。因此，节能不能仅仅依靠技术进步，而应该辅以能源价格和税收以及其他宏观调控政策。

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