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首页> 外文会议>2011 2nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Management Science and Electronic Commerce >Predicting price trends in Henan Province during the period of the twelfth five-year plan based on grey fuzzy theory
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Predicting price trends in Henan Province during the period of the twelfth five-year plan based on grey fuzzy theory

机译：基于灰色模糊理论的“十二五”时期河南省物价走势预测

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摘要

Commodity price is always a matter related to national welfare and people''s livelihood. In 2010, the country''s central government put ‘Price Control’ as an important matter among national priorities and did enormous efforts for it. As a center area of Central Plain Economic Zone, He Nan Province has more reasons to keep commodity price in check. Based itself on the grey fuzzy theory the paper tries to form a model to forecast the Variational Trend of consumer price index of He Nan Province during the period of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. According to the model, the consumer price index would either rise or decline for some while from 2011 to 2015, presenting the overall steady and ascendant. Besides, the paper also suggested several factors that would probably affect consumer price index and concluded the rising price of food products and residence products, two main components of consumer price index, is the most important reason affecting consumer price index. Moreover, the carryover effect and the central government''s macro control also contribute to the overall steady growth of CPI of He Nan Province.
机译：商品价格始终与国民福利和民生有关。 2010年，中国中央政府将“价格管制”作为国家优先事项中的重要事项，并为此做出了巨大努力。作为中原经济区的中心地区，河南省有更多的理由来控制商品价格。本文基于灰色模糊理论，试图建立模型预测河南省“十二五”期间居民消费价格指数的变化趋势。根据该模型，从2011年到2015年，居民消费价格指数将有一段时间上升或下降，呈现总体稳定和上升的趋势。此外，本文还提出了可能影响消费者价格指数的几个因素，并得出结论，食品和居民产品的价格上涨是消费者价格指数的两个主要组成部分，是影响消费者价格指数的最重要原因。此外，结转效应和中央政府的宏观调控也为河南省CPI的总体稳定增长做出了贡献。

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