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Application of Time Series-Exponential Smoothing Model on Urban Water Demand Forecasting

机译:时间序列指数平滑模型在城市需水量预测中的应用

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Based on the traditional time series methods, this paper researched a time seriesexponential smoothing model that is built by SPSS statistical analysis software. In the application of the model, the original data of water consumption were in processed by a particular smoothing method first.Secondly, the processed data were used to build a time series-exponential smoothing model. On error test, we found that this forecasting model has advantages of better effect, high precision and minor error on urban water demand forecasing.
机译:在传统时间序列方法的基础上,研究了由SPSS统计分析软件建立的时间序列指数平滑模型。在该模型的应用中,首先通过一种特殊的平滑方法对水耗的原始数据进行处理。其次,利用处理后的数据建立时间序列指数平滑模型。在误差测试中,我们发现该预测模型对城市需水预测具有较好的效果,较高的精度和较小的误差。

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