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Fuzzy Self-Adaptable Prediction Method for High-Fill Road Foundation Settlement

机译：高填方路基沉降的模糊自适应预测方法

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摘要

In the forecasting of road foundation settlement, different methods can often provide valuable information. When different forecasting methods combined properly, comprehensive forecast information are variously utilized. According to the principle of artificial intelligence and method of fuzzy mathematics, the fuzzy combination forecasting method of self-adaptively variable weight is proposed. Based on matching degree of past-recent period and actual value, the weights are automatically adjust, so that forecasting results will be accurate. The fuzzy combination forecasting method of self-adaptively variable weight is applied to the sub grade settlement in Hengzao expressway, which provides the prediction accuracy and reliable applicability. In order to improve the prediction accuracy, the measured sample points should increase, and with the passage of time, the recent settlement results should be set to the set of original sample.
机译：在预测路基沉降时，通常可以使用不同的方法提供有价值的信息。当不同的预测方法适当地组合在一起时，可以广泛地利用综合的预测信息。根据人工智能原理和模糊数学方法，提出了自适应变权的模糊组合预测方法。根据最近一段时间与实际值的匹配程度，权重会自动调整，从而使预测结果准确。将自适应变权的模糊组合预测方法应用于横枣高速公路路基沉降，提供了预测的准确性和可靠的适用性。为了提高预测精度，应增加测得的采样点，并且随着时间的流逝，应将最近的沉降结果设置为原始采样的集合。

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