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Does Time to Build Affect Investment Timing and Capacity Choices in Power Industry?

机译:是时候建立影响电力行业的投资时间和能力选择吗?

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Constructing a power plant takes considerable time, which significantly affects the optimal investment timing and capacity choice. The time to build a power plant has been overlooked in previous research. We investigate the optimal time to initiate a power plant construction project and choose the capacity of the plant, given that the profit from the plant follows a geometric Brownian motion. We model the problem as a delayed stochastic optimal control problem, constructively derive the closed form solution with geometric interpretation, and find managerial insights by analyzing the solution. Our results show that time to build a power plant has different effects on the optimal decisions according to the parameters that represent market profitability.
机译:构建电厂需要大量的时间,这显着影响了最佳的投资时间和能力选择。在以前的研究中忽略了建造电厂的时间。我们调查了发起电厂建设项目的最佳时间,并选择工厂的能力,鉴于本厂的利润遵循几何布朗运动。我们将问题模型为延迟随机最佳控制问题,建设性地推导出具有几何解释的封闭式解决方案,并通过分析解决方案来查找管理洞察力。我们的结果表明,根据代表市场盈利能力的参数,建立电厂的时间对最佳决策具有不同的影响。

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