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A Conceptual Model to Analyze Road Traffic Congestion Mechanisms under Adverse Weather and Its Application

机译:分析恶劣天气下公路交通拥堵机制的概念模型及其应用

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Conceptual models of weather-triggered traffic congestion formation mechanism are proposed based on a mechanism analysis method in an emergency management field. Then the integrated conceptual model is converted to a directed graph and its node degree values are calculated as incident importance indicator. Finally the degree results are applied to design weather-responsive emergency traffic management plans according to general emergency management rules. The main findings are that, 1) incidents such as snowy-icy weather, rainy weather, decreasing friction coefficients, damaging road infrastructure, increasing mental stress and fatigue sense are the top 5 traffic congestion causes; 2) road and human elements are the most affected transport system elements and incidents like temporary road obstacles, abnormal driving behavior and transport demand fluctuation should be paid more attention to; 3) strategies that can influence incident development paths and remove traffic congestion bottleneck have the highest priority.
机译:基于应急管理领域的机制分析方法提出了天气触发交通拥堵机制的概念模型。然后将集成的概念模型转换为定向图,其节点度值计算为事件重要性指示符。最后,根据普通的紧急管理规则,将应用程度的结果应用于设计天气响应的紧急交通管理计划。主要研究结果是,1)雪地冰冷的天气,多雨天气,减少摩擦系数,破坏性道路基础设施,增加精神压力和疲劳感的事件是前5个交通拥堵原因; 2)道路和人类元素是最受影响的运输系统元素和事件,如临时道路障碍,异常驾驶行为和运输需求波动应更加关注; 3)能够影响事件开发路径的策略,删除交通拥堵瓶颈具有最高的优先级。

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