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RD, ENDOGENOUS SUBSTITUTIO AND CLIMATE CHANGE

机译:研发,内生替代和气候变化

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摘要

This study examines how technological change via R&D in fossil fuels and backstop resources affects the resource use, economic growth, and climate change in a framework of economic growth model with environmental constraints. It constructs a model with key factors such as an efficiency factor, an energy price and the knowledge stock for energy and illustrates how the endogenous substitution among different resources influences the trajectory of carbon emissions, economic growth and climate change. The simulation analysis of the model presents that the energy use pattern in the consumption goods producing sector is gas, oil, coal, backstop resource while for the capital goods producing sector is oil, coal, backstop resource. With the optimal carbon tax rate, the temperature change reaches a maximum in 2315 and then declines. The energy knowledge stock appears to lower the peak of the temperature change and shorten the year in peak.
机译:这项研究在具有环境约束的经济增长模型框架下,研究了通过化石燃料和后备资源的研发进行的技术变革如何影响资源使用,经济增长和气候变化。它构建了一个模型,其中包含诸如效率因子,能源价格和能源知识储备等关键因素,并说明了不同资源之间的内生替代如何影响碳排放,经济增长和气候变化的轨迹。对模型的仿真分析表明,消费品生产部门的能源使用方式为天然气,石油,煤炭,后备资源,而资本品生产部门的能源使用方式为石油,煤炭,后备资源。在最佳碳税率的情况下,温度变化在2315年达到最大值,然后下降。能源知识库似乎降低了温度变化的峰值并缩短了峰值年份。

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