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Spillover effects of Japanese monetary policy on China: Is there any differences during and aftermath of crisis?

机译:日本货币政策对中国的溢出效应:危机期间和危机之后是否存在差异?

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This paper examines the spillover effects of Japanese monetary policy on Chinese macro economy - during and in the aftermath of 2007-2008 financial crisis. Study periods are divided into two: from January 2007 to January 2013 as the first period and from April 2013 to December 2015 as the second one. The reason why we take 2013 as threshold is that since 2013, Japan executed more radical quantitative easing policy and China experienced an obvious slow economic growth and deepen market oriented interest rate reform and exchange rate reform. The results of VAR model analysis shows that Japanese monetary policy did have spillover effects on China economy, while behavior of two stages were different. Japanese monetary policy mainly affected Chinese money supply, exchange rates and interest rates at the first stage, while it mainly affected Chinese output and trade level at the second stage.
机译:本文研究了2007-2008年金融危机期间及之后日本货币政策对中国宏观经济的溢出效应。研究期分为两个:第一期为2007年1月至2013年1月,第二期为2013年4月至2015年12月。我们之所以以2013年为门槛,是因为自2013年以来,日本实施了更为激进的量化宽松政策,而中国则经历了明显的经济增长缓慢和深化以市场为导向的利率改革和汇率改革。 VAR模型分析的结果表明,日本的货币政策确实对中国经济产生了溢出效应,而两个阶段的行为却有所不同。日本的货币政策在第一阶段主要影响中国的货币供应,汇率和利率,而在第二阶段主要影响中国的产出和贸易水平。

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