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Study on the Threshold of Bus Arrival Rate of Shared Bus Stops Based on Queuing Probability

机译：基于排队概率的共享公交站点公交到达率阈值研究

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摘要

In this paper, we first discuss two types of berth organization forms of shared stops. Based on that, methods to calculate the queuing probability is developed. Then, the queuing probability of regular bus and BRT bus in different berth organization forms are compared, and it proves that combined form can better guarantee the operational efficiency of BRT. Next, we analyze the effect of the bus arrival rate on queuing probability; it is found that arrival rate of regular bus has a greater influence on queuing probability than BRT bus. After that, thresholds of regular bus arrival rate in different berth organization forms are given. The results show that the threshold of mixed form is larger than that of the combined form when the arrival rate level of BRT is low, but smaller when the arrival rate level of BRT is higher. Finally, the procedure of determining the threshold is proposed.
机译：在本文中，我们首先讨论共享停靠点的两种泊位组织形式。在此基础上，提出了计算排队概率的方法。然后，比较了常规公交车和BRT公交车在不同泊位组织形式下的排队概率，证明了组合形式可以更好地保证BRT的运营效率。接下来，我们分析公交车到达率对排队概率的影响;发现普通公交车的到达率对排队概率的影响比BRT公交车大。在此之后，给出了不同泊位组织形式的常规公交车到达率的阈值。结果表明，当BRT到达率水平较低时，混合形式的阈值大于合并形式的阈值，而当BRT到达率水平较高时，混合形式的阈值较小。最后，提出了确定阈值的过程。

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