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DYNAMICS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT THE CRIMEAN PENINSULA TERRITORY

机译:犯罪半岛地区的表面温度动力学

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The analysis of the surface temperaturesvariability (monthly mean) over the period 1969-2014 by frequency of exceeding the climatic norm (1961-1990) is presented. An increaseof such situations in 3.5 times over entire Crimean peninsula territoryis revealed. "Strong exceeding" (from 2.0a to 2.5σ) is characterized by an increase in the number of cases from 6% to 15% and "very strong exceeding" (> 2.5σ) - from 0% to 18%. The value of coefficients in the "very-strong exceeding" reaches 5.9σ. The pronounced effect of surface air temperature growing indicates an increase in threats which creates thermal stress on human health. The main categories are vulnerable elderly people, as well as the people do not acclimate to an unfamiliar thermal environment (in this category in most of the representatives of the tourist flow). While maintaining the observed trends, extreme heat periods will be a serious threat to the health of persons that has "epidemical" potential in the European region.
机译:提出了对1969-2014年期间地表温度变化性(月均值)的分析,其频率超过了气候标准(1961-1990年)。整个克里米亚半岛领土上这种情况增加了3.5倍。 “严重超出”(从2.0a到2.5σ)的特征是案件数量从6%增加到15%,“非常严重”(>2.5σ)从0%增加到18%。 “非常强超过”中的系数值达到5.9σ。地表气温上升的明显影响表明威胁的增加,对人类健康产生热应激。主要类别是脆弱的老年人,以及人们不适应陌生的热环境(在大多数此类游客流中,这一类别属于此类)。在维持观察到的趋势的同时,极端炎热期将严重威胁欧洲地区具有“潜在”流行病的人的健康。

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