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首页> 外文会议>2010 International Conference on Computer Application and System Modeling >The analysis of development trend for Beijing Cultural and Creative Industry based on GM(1,1) Model
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The analysis of development trend for Beijing Cultural and Creative Industry based on GM(1,1) Model

机译：基于GM（1,1）模型的北京文化创意产业发展趋势分析

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摘要

Cultural and Creative Industry is a domain that Beijing adjusts industrial structure and transforms pattern of growth. This paper builds GM(1,1) model by analyzing actual data of Beijing Cultural and Creative Industry added value from year 2004 to year 2009. The author predicts Beijing Cultural and Creative Industry added value for several years in future by the model created in this paper. According to the predicting results, this paper verifies the performance of the 11th five-year period of Beijing cultural and creative industries development planning and gives specific suggestions. The results of this paper have the certain reference value for government mastering the development situation and making policy for Beijing Cultural and Creative Industry.
机译：文化创意产业是北京调整产业结构，转变增长方式的领域。本文通过分析2004年至2009年北京文化创意产业增加值的实际数据，建立GM（1,1）模型。纸。根据预测结果，验证了北京文化创意产业“十一五”发展规划的绩效，并提出了具体建议。本文的结果对政府掌握北京文化创意产业的发展状况和制定政策具有一定的参考价值。

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