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Evaluating Response Planning Initiatives: Modeling Assumptions

机译:评估响应计划计划:建模假设

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The potential for intentional contamination of the nation's drinking water infrastructure has heightened utility awareness regarding distribution system security. Corrective actions implemented by a water utility following a contamination incident have the potential to significantly mitigate public health and infrastructure impacts. Many mitigation and response options are available (e.g., flushing at hydrants to remove contaminants from pipes, injecting disinfectant or decontamination agents at booster stations to treat the water or remove the contaminant from pipe walls, sampling at locations throughout the network to determine the extent of contamination, or instituting "Do Not Drink" or "Do Not Use" public advisories). For any given utility, some options might be more effective than others, and the effectiveness might depend on timing and other factors. Modeling and simulation studies can help utility decision-makers evaluate the effectiveness and feasibility of various response actions. However, utilities need to use realistic input parameters to ensure that modeling results are meaningful. This paper summarizes the input parameters needed to realistically model utility response options as well as lessons learned from discussions with two water utilities on the practicality of initiating specific response actions. The purpose of the utility discussions was to ground-truth modeling assumptions and eliminate impractical and inefficient response options, while also placing realistic bounds on input parameters. With more accurate information, the results from simulation and optimization models will be more acceptable to water utilities and policy makers. Generating plausible approaches to dealing with a contamination incident will support the utilities' decision making process and facilitate selection of the most effective operational response. The value of this type of response planning is discussed for a wide audience of water utilities.
机译:故意污染国家饮用水基础设施的可能性提高了公用事业部门对配电系统安全性的意识。自来水公司在发生污染事件后采取的纠正措施有可能显着减轻公共卫生和基础设施的影响。有许多缓解和响应选项(例如,在消防栓上冲洗以去除管道中的污染物,在增压站注入消毒剂或去污剂以处理水或从管道壁中去除污染物,在整个网络中的位置进行采样以确定程度)。污染,或发起“请勿饮酒”或“请勿使用”公共忠告)。对于任何给定的公用事业,某些选择可能比其他选择更有效,并且其有效性可能取决于时间和其他因素。建模和仿真研究可以帮助公用事业决策者评估各种响应措施的有效性和可行性。但是,实用程序需要使用实际的输入参数来确保建模结果有意义。本文总结了对公用事业响应选项进行实际建模所需的输入参数,以及与两家自来水公司讨论启动特定响应行动的实用性的经验教训。实用程序讨论的目的是对真实的建模假设进行分析,消除不切实际且效率低下的响应选项,同时还对输入参数设置了现实的界限。有了更准确的信息,模拟和优化模型的结果将更容易被水务公司和决策者接受。产生处理污染事件的合理方法将支持公用事业的决策过程,并有助于选择最有效的操作响应。讨论了此类响应计划对于水务公司的广泛受众的价值。

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