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GM(1,1) in bankruptcy syndrome modelling

机译:GM(1,1)在破产综合征建模中的应用

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摘要

The present paper tries to give a whole new vision on the firm's future evolution forecasting. By taking into account some of the current values of its symptoms and applying one of the most used models in the grey systems theory, namely the GM(1,1), some predictions related to its future symptoms' values can be determined. Having these values and the grey economic-financial matrix, K, the future diseases that can hit a company can be depicted along with their causes. Furthermore, knowing and understanding these causes, the manager can action on a manner that can make the difference between a bankrupt and a real successful firm.
机译:本文试图对公司未来演化预测的全新愿景。通过考虑其症状的一些当前值并应用灰色系统理论中最常用的模型之一,即GM(1,1),可以确定与其未来症状值相关的一些预测。拥有这些价值观和灰色经济金融矩阵,K,可以涉及公司的未来疾病。此外,了解和理解这些原因,经理可以采取可以对破产和真正成功的公司之间进行区别的方式进行行动。

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