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Near real-life pilot testing of real-time probabilistic reliability assessments

机译：实时概率可靠性评估的近乎真实的试验测试

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This paper introduces a probabilistic reliability management approach and describes a pilot test planned by the Icelandic transmission system operator, Landsnet, in early 2017, as part of the EU GARPUR project. The pilot test will assess the viability of the approach and criteria proposed by GARPUR, in the context of real-time system operation. The mathematical formulation of reliability assessment being studied in the pilot test and the required algorithms are outlined. Data and tools needed for the pilot test are detailed, identifying the required assumptions and simplifications where existing data and tools are lacking. Finally, the preliminary methodology of the pilot test is described, followed by a discussion of the expected value of the pilot test. It is anticipated that the pilot test will provide insights into data and modelling needs for the implementation of probabilistic risk management approaches and criteria in transmission system operation.
机译：本文介绍了一种概率可靠性管理方法，并描述了由冰岛传输系统运营商Landsnet在2017年初计划的试点测试，这是EU GARPUR项目的一部分。试点测试将在实时系统操作的情况下评估GARPUR提出的方法和标准的可行性。概述了在先导测试中正在研究的可靠性评估的数学公式以及所需的算法。详细介绍了中试所需的数据和工具，在缺少现有数据和工具的情况下，确定了所需的假设和简化。最后，描述了中试的初步方法，然后讨论了中试的期望值。可以预期，该试点测试将提供有关数据和建模需求的见解，以便在传输系统操作中实施概率风险管理方法和标准。

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