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Study on the Evolution and Diffusion Models of Technological Innovation System Based on Self-organization Theory

机译：基于自组织理论的技术创新体系演化与扩散模型研究

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摘要

There are complex characteristic of openness, dynamic, nonlinearity, fluctuation and indetermination in the technological innovation system. From the perspective of system theory this paper illuminates the self-organization characteristics of technological innovation system and analyzes the self-organization mechanisms of the innovation process and characteristics of instability, the multiplicity (branch), the sudden change and stochastic "the fluctuation" and constructs the self-organization process model of technological innovation and diffusion then carries on the confirmation with statistical software to the model fitting degree and the model parameters, using the data of China communication market, obtains the quite satisfied result. These models have realized the integration of the natural sciences and the social sciences, and developed a new method for studying on the evolution and diffusion process of the technological innovation system.
机译：技术创新体系中存在复杂的开放性，动态，非线性，波动和不确定的特征。从系统理论的角度来看，本文阐明了技术创新体系的自组织特征，分析了创新过程的自组织机制和不稳定的特点，多重（分支机构），突然变化和随机“波动”和构建技术创新和扩散的自组织过程模型随后通过统计软件对模型拟合程度和模型参数进行确认，使用中国通信市场的数据，获得了相当满意的结果。这些模型实现了自然科学与社会科学的整合，并开发了一种研究技术创新体系的演化和扩散过程的新方法。

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