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Quantification of the Burden of Disease Attributable to Nitrogen Dioxide Exposure in Germany

机译:德国因二氧化氮暴露引起的疾病负担的量化

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Introduction: Epidemiological studies have shown associations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) with numerous health outcomes. EU-wide air quality limit values for NO2 are in place but regularly exceeded at measuring stations near roads in Germany. Therefore, a health risk assessment for the NO2-exposure of the German population was conducted. Methods: For 2007 to 2014, maps of the annual spatial 1*1km2 distribution of a population-weighted NO2 concentration indicator were calculated. For three model regions a small scale assessment of the NO2 exposure also considered concentrations in the higher resolved urban background and close to highly polluted street sections. A systematic literature search was performed to ascertain the current evidence on long-term health effects of NO2 and to identify exposure-response-functions transferrable to Germany. The Environmental Burden of Disease-concept was applied to quantify the NO2-associated health risks for relevant outcomes. Results: The yearly mean background NO2 slightly decreased from 13μg/m3 in 2007 to 11.8μg/m3 in 2014. Using a counterfactual value of 10μg/m3, 5,966 (95 %-confidence interval: 2,031 to 9,893) premature deaths and 49,726 (16,929 to 82,456) Years of Live Lost due to cardiovascular mortality attributable to NO2 long-term exposure were estimated for 2014. Between 2007 and 2014 a decrease was observed for attributable premature deaths. The higher resolution of NO2-concentration for the three model regions led to a substantial increase in the estimated number of premature deaths due to cardiovascular disease by 40% to 165%. Discussion: The present estimates are based on NO2 concentrations reflecting background exposure and thus underestimate the burden of disease. A better accuracy of the NO2 exposure estimation accounting for the higher concentrations in urban areas close to traffic improves the burden of disease quantification and may enhance the distinction of health effects related to fine and ultrafine particles.
机译:简介:流行病学研究显示了二氧化氮(NO2)与许多健康结果的关联。 NO2的欧盟范围内空气质量极限值就位,但经常超过德国道路的测量站。因此,进行了德国人口NO2曝光的健康风险评估。方法:计算2007年至2014年,计算年度空间1 * 1km2分布的人口加权No2浓度指标的地图。对于三个模型区域,NO2暴露的小规模评估也认为较高的城市背景中的浓度并接近高度污染的街道部分。进行了系统文献搜索,以确定NO2的长期健康影响的当前证据,并识别转移到德国的暴露反应职能。疾病 - 概念的环境负担被应用于量化相关结果的No2相关的健康风险。结果:2014年2007年的13μg/ m3的年平均背景从13μg/ m3略微下降至11.8μg/ m3。使用10μg/ m3,5,966(95% - 次间隔:2,031至9,893)过早死亡和49,726名(16,929名估计2014年估计由于No2长期暴露的心血管死亡率导致的82,456岁的年龄损失。2007年至2014年期间,应占归因于遗料过早死亡的减少。对于三个模型区域的NO2浓度的较高分辨率导致由于心血管疾病估计的过早死亡数量大幅增加40%至165%。讨论:本估计基于反映背景暴露的NO2浓度,从而低估疾病负担。 No2曝光估计的更好准确性估计在近交通的城市地区较高浓度提高了疾病量化的负担,并可提高与细胞和超细颗粒相关的健康效果的区别。

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