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Risk Evaluation of Residential Investment for Housing Industrialization Projects in China

机译：中国住宅产业化项目住宅投资风险评估

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摘要

Housing industrialization has become one of the key solutions to enhance housing production efficiency and decrease energy consumption of Chinese residential housing industry. Housing industrialization projects are confronting different investment risk structure with traditional residential investment. The risk evaluation of residential investment for housing industrialization projects becomes an urgent issue. Beginning with the influence analysis of housing industrialization on residential investment, this paper identified the main risk factors. The risk evaluation index system of residential investment was established. The risk evaluation model was built with AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Finally, an example was analyzed to demonstrate the application process of the method. The result shows the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method could provide effective decision-making support for risk management.
机译：住房产业化已成为提高住宅生产效率，降低中国住宅产业能耗的关键解决方案之一。住房工业化项目面临着与传统住宅投资不同的投资风险结构。住房产业化项目中住宅投资的风险评估成为当务之急。从住房产业化对住房投资的影响分析开始，本文确定了主要的风险因素。建立了住宅投资风险评价指标体系。利用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法建立了风险评价模型。最后，通过实例分析说明了该方法的应用过程。结果表明，模糊综合评价方法可以为风险管理提供有效的决策支持。

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