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Process and outcomes of modeling: an attempt at formulating a conceptual framework

机译：建模的过程和结果：尝试制定概念框架

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In the field's early publications, Forrester was already clear on the goals of the system dynamics approach. The purpose of constructing a system dynamics model of any real world issue of concern was to improve system functioning. The vehicle for doing so was an increased understanding of relations between structure and behavior or a change in mental models, leading stakeholders to implement conclusions of the modeling effort. In recent years much attention has been given to involving stakeholders directly in modeling, leading to various forms of group model building. Involvement in modeling was expected to increase change in mental models and thereby foster implementation of conclusions. However, only a few years ago leading authors in the field have called group model building more an art than a science, and pointed to the lack of evidence for its effectiveness. Authors in related fields have made similar comments with regard to their respective methodologies: a lack of an integrative conceptual framework linking modeling practice to modeling outcomes, makes 1. an accumulation of research results difficult and 2. leaves implicit what the crucial elements of a modeling intervention are. Thus the effectiveness of methodologies is difficult to assess and relate to relevant theories. In this article such an integrative conceptual framework is proposed, drawing on theories of persuasion (mental model change) and the influence of beliefs and evaluations on actions. Well-established theories in social psychology are used to formulate important variables and relations in the model, enabling us to draw on standard operationalizations and relate to a body of research on social interactions. The framework is used to evaluate five group model building cases in a PhD research project, of which the main results are reported here. The results indicate that group model building effectiveness can be understood in terms of the framework, leading to the identification of further research questions.
机译：在该领域的早期出版物中，Forrester已经清楚地对系统动力学方法的目标进行了清晰。构建任何现实世界问题的系统动力学模型的目的是提高系统运行。这样做的车辆是对结构和行为之间关系的了解，或者心理模型的变化，领导利益相关者实施建模努力的结论。近年来，涉及直接在建模中的利益相关者的关注，导致各种形式的集体模型建设。预计建模的参与会增加心理模型的变化，从而促进得出结论。但是，只有几年前的领先作者在该领域的作者称为集团模型建设的艺术比科学更远，并指出缺乏证据的有效性。相关领域的作者对其各自的方法进行了类似的评论：缺乏将建模实践与建模成果联系起来的综合概念框架，使得研究结果困难难以暗示建模的重要元素干预是。因此，方法的有效性难以评估和涉及相关理论。在本文中，提出了这种综合概念框架，借鉴说服（心理模型变化）和信仰和评估对行动的影响。社会心理学的完善理论用于制定模型中的重要变量和关系，使我们能够借鉴标准的操作，并与社会互动的研究组织有关。该框架用于评估博士学研究项目中的五个组模型建筑案例，其中报告了主要结果。结果表明，在框架方面，可以理解组模型建筑有效性，从而识别进一步的研究问题。

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