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ASSESSING RESERVOIR PERFORMANCE RISK IN CO_2 STORAGE PROJECTS

机译:评估CO_2存储项目中的水库绩效风险

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A key challenge to researchers involved with geological storage of CO_2 has been to develop an appropriate methodology to assess and compare alternative CO_2 injection projects on the basis of risk. Technical aspects, such as the risk of leakage and the effectiveness of the intended reservoir, need to be considered, but so do less tangible aspects such as the value and safety of geological storage of CO_2, and potential impacts on the community and environment. A proprietary method has been applied and found to be an appropriate approach to deliver a transparent risk assessment process that can interface with the wider community and allow stakeholders to assess whether the CO_2 storage process is safe, measurable and verifiable and whether a selected alternative delivers cost effective greenhouse benefits. Only the technical aspects of the risk assessment which has been undertaken are discussed in this paper. In Australia, the approach was applied to assess the risk posed by conceptual but representative CO_2 injection projects in four selected areas. The assessment derived outputs that address key project performance indicators; are useful to compare projects; include technical, economic and community risk events; assist communication of risk to stakeholders; can be incorporated into risk management design of storage projects, and can help identify specific areas for future research. The approach is to use quantitative techniques to characterise risk in terms of both the likelihood of identified risk events occurring and their consequences. The approach integrates current best practice risk assessment methodology with best available information provided by an expert panel. The results presented here show the relationships between containment and effectiveness for all of the four conceptual CO_2 injection projects and indicate their acceptability with respect to key performance indicators.
机译:对CO_2的地质储存的研究人员的关键挑战是制定适当的方法,以根据风险评估和比较替代CO_2注射项目。需要考虑技术方面,例如泄漏的风险和预期水库的有效性,但是如此有形方面,如CO_2的地质储存的价值和安全性,以及对社区和环境的潜在影响。已应用专有方法,并发现是一种适当的方法,可以提供可以与更广泛的社区连接的透明风险评估过程,并允许利益相关者评估CO_2存储过程是否安全,可测量和可验证以及所选替代方案是否提供成本有效的温室优势。本文只讨论了已经进行的风险评估的技术方面。在澳大利亚,采用该方法来评估概念但代表性的CO_2注射项目在四个选定区域中提出的风险。评估派生输出地址地解决了关键项目绩效指标;比较项目是有用的;包括技术,经济和社区风险事件;协助对利益相关者的风险沟通;可以纳入风险管理项目的存储项目,可以帮助识别未来研究的特定领域。该方法是利用定量技术,以表征风险的风险,而识别的风险事件发生的可能性及其后果。该方法将当前最佳实践风险评估方法集成了专家小组提供的最佳可用信息。此处提出的结果显示了所有四个概念CO_2注射项目的遏制和有效性之间的关系,并指出了对关键绩效指标的可接受性。

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