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'Gone with the Wind'– Assessing the Impact of Wind Generation on Electricity Prices in Great Britain

机译:“随风而去” - 评估风发球对英国电价的影响

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Wind energy has experienced phenominal growth in recent years,changing the energy landscape around the world.In the UK,the installed capacity for on-and off-shore wind power generation has increased from 0.7 gigawatts(GW)in 2003 to 20 GW by the end of 2017.1 In the first half of 2018,more than 15% of total electricity supply in the UK was generated from wind power.Because of its low marginal cost(zero fuel cost),wind power normally enters near the bottom of the supply curve,shifting the supply curve.It has been argued that the increased penetration of wind power would lead to lower electricity price(EWEA,2010).However,most of the literature in this area is based on simulation studies(Green and Vasilakos,2011;A.Gil and Lin,2013;Brancucci Martinez-Anido et al,2016).There is surprisingly little empirical evidence on how the wind power has affected the wholesale electricity price.In this paper we use monthly averages of volume-weighted wholesale price data in the UK from 2005 to 2018 to quantify the extent to which the wind power in the UK has influenced the wholesale electricity price.
机译:近年来,风能经历了现象增长,改变了世界各地的能源景观。在英国,2003年的0.7千兆瓦(GW)增加了岸上风发电的装机容量至20 GW 2017年底2018年上半年,英国的超过15%来自风电。因为其低边际成本(零燃料成本),风电通常进入供电曲线的底部附近据称,改变了供应曲线。这是据称,风电的渗透率增加将导致电价较低(EWEA,2010)。然而,该领域的大多数文献都是基于仿真研究(绿色和Vasilakos,2011年; A.GIL和Lin,2013; Brancucci Martinez-Aido等,2016)。令人惊讶的是关于风力发电如何影响批发电力价格的实证证据。本文使用每月批发批发价格数据的平均值从2005年到2018年英国到曲反对英国风力发电的程度影响了批发电价。

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