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Earnings management in response to the oil price shock of 2014: Evidence from Oslo Stock Exchange

机译:盈利管理以回应2014年的油价震动:来自奥斯陆证券交易所的证据

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The purpose of this paper is to supplement the earnings management literature by examining accounting choices in Oslo Stock Exchange listed oil companies in response to the oil price shock of 2014.From June 2014 to January 2015,the price of Brent crude oil per barrel dropped from around $115 to $46.This downfall is mainly attributed to USA’s increased shale oil production and OPEC’s decision of keeping their production stable,deciding that low oil prices offer more long-term benefits than giving up market share(McCain,2015).In turbulent times,the reliability of financial statements is particularly essential to the stakeholders.Information asymmetry between preparers and users of financial information makes opportunistic altering possible,which reduces the quality of financial reporting(Arthur,Tang and Lin,2015).Basu et al.(2013)state that financial reports are the most important source of information to investors,analysts and debtors.Knowledge of an industry’s inclination to engage in earnings management activities in times of crisis1 is therefore of critical value to users of financial information.Due to the historical proximity of the oil price crisis of 2014,no earnings management research is conducted on this event.Following prior research,well-established discretionary accruals models are used to estimate earnings management behaviour.By using a bootstrapping procedure,we test whether there is a significant difference in earnings management between the pre-crisis and the crisis period.The results show a significant increase in earnings management following the oil price drop.Moreover,we investigate which direction companies adjust earnings and find abnormal income-decreasing accruals during the third and fourth quarter of 2014.We attribute this finding to the big bath strategy,where managers manipulate earnings downward to make poor results worse,artificially enhancing subsequent earnings as the accruals reverse.This study contributes to the literature in 1)to the understanding of the effect of macroeconomic shocks on earnings management behaviour and 2),we supplement the earnings management literature on oil and oil-related companies by looking at how a negative oil price shock affects oil companies.
机译:本文的目的是通过审查奥斯陆证券交易所上市石油公司的会计选择来补充盈利管理文献,以应对2014年的石油价格震动。从2014年6月至2015年1月,每桶地带原油的价格下降大约115美元至46美元。此垮台主要归功于美国的页岩石油产量和欧佩克保持其生产稳定的决定,决定低油价比放弃市场份额(麦凯恩,2015)。在动荡时期,财务报表的可靠性对利益相关者特别至关重要。财务信息的准备者和用户之间的信息不对称使得机会变化可能会降低财务报告的质量(Arthur,Tang和Lin,2015).Basu等,2015年)陈述财务报告是投资者,分析师和债务人最重要的信息来源。知识是一个行业的倾向因此,Crisis1的盈利管理活动是对金融信息用户的临界价值。在2014年石油价格危机的历史悠久的历史上,这一事件没有进行盈利管理研究。假期研究,既定的自由裁量权模型用于估算盈利管理行为。使用引导程序,我们测试了危机前和危机期间的盈利管理是否存在显着差异。结果表现出在油价下降后的盈利管理的显着增加.Moreover,我们调查哪些方向公司在2014年第三和第四季度调整收益并找到异常的收入计数。我们将这一发现归因于大浴策略,管理人员向下操纵收益,以使结果较差,人为加强收益作为应计反向。这项研究有助于1)贡献了解宏观经济冲击对盈利管理行为的影响和2),我们通过研究负油价冲击如何影响石油公司的石油和石油有关公司的盈利管理文献。

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