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EMISSION TRADING OR CARBON TAX OR BOTH SOME INSIGHTS FROM A MULTI-REGIONAL CGE MODEL OF CHINA

机译:排放交易或碳税或中国多区域CGE模型的一些见解

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In December 2017, China introduced a national emission trading scheme in contributing to achieve its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) set under the Paris Agreement. China’s NDC aims reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensity (i.e., CO2 equivalent emissions per unit of GDP) by 60 to 65 percent below 2005 levels (Wu et al., 2017). The recently introduced national emission trading scheme covers only the electricity sector and is expected to extend to other emission intensive sectors in the near future. However, an emission trading scheme would not be able to cover some key sources of GHG emissions such as the transport sector, household sector and government or service sector. Without reducing emissions from those sectors, meeting China’s NDC would be challenging. Since it would be too complicated to cover these sectors through a national emission trading scheme, a carbon tax might be an appropriate instrument to trigger emission reductions in the sectors not covered by the national emission trading scheme. This study compares, using a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model of China, various policy instruments, such as a national emission trading system and a uniform national carbon tax to achieve specified emission reduction targets. It then simulates scenarios combining these policy instruments to investigate if a combination of these policies would be more economic than implemented them in isolation. The study finds that a combination of emission trading and carbon tax would be more economical than these instruments introduced in isolation.
机译:在2017年12月,中国在促进实现巴黎协定规定的国家确定的贡献(NDC)组介绍了国家规定的排放交易计划。中国的NDC目标由60%至65%以下2005年的水平减少温室气体(GHG)发光强度(单位GDP即,CO 2当量排放量)(Wu等人,2017)。最近推出的国家排放交易计划仅覆盖了电力部门,并有望扩展到其他排放密集型行业在不久的将来。然而,排放交易计划将无法覆盖的温室气体排放的一些关键来源,如交通部门,家庭部门和政府或服务业。在不降低这些部门的排放量,满足中国NDC将挑战。因为它太复杂了覆盖通过了国家排放交易计划这些部门,征收碳税可能是一个合适的工具,以在不属于国家规定的排放交易计划的部门触发减排。这项研究比较,采用多区域,中国的多部门CGE模型,各种政策工具,如国家排放交易制度和全国统一的碳税,以达到规定的减排目标。然后它模拟场景结合这些政策手段来调查,如果这些政策的组合会更经济不是孤立地实现它们。研究发现,排放权交易和碳税的组合会更经济比这些仪器孤立介绍。

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