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首页> 外文会议>ISPRS Congress >FUTURE ESTIMATION OF CONVENIENCE LIVING FACILITIES WITHDRAWAL DUE TO POPULATION DECLINE ALL OVER JAPAN FROM 2010 TO 2040 - FOCUS ON SUPERMARKETS, CONVENIENCE STORES AND DRUGSTORES
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FUTURE ESTIMATION OF CONVENIENCE LIVING FACILITIES WITHDRAWAL DUE TO POPULATION DECLINE ALL OVER JAPAN FROM 2010 TO 2040 - FOCUS ON SUPERMARKETS, CONVENIENCE STORES AND DRUGSTORES

机译：从2010年到2040年的日本均为人口均下降，方便生活设施的未来估算 - 专注于超市，便利店和药店

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Population explosion is considered to be one of the most crucial problems in the world. However, in Japan, the opposite problem: population decline has become serious now. Japanese population is estimated to decrease by twenty millions in 2040. This negative situation will cause to increase areas where many residents cannot make a daily living all over Japan because many convenience living facilities such as supermarkets, convenience stores and drugstores will be difficult to maintain their market area population due to future population decline. In our research, we used point data of convenience living facilities developed by address geocoding of digital telephone directory and point data of future population projection developed by distribution of Japanese official population projection data proportionally among the building volume of digital residential map, which can monitor building volumes all over Japan. In conclusion, we estimated that various convenience living facilities in Japan will shrink and close by population decline in near future. In particular, it is cleared that approximately 14.7% of supermarkets will be possible to withdraw all over Japan by 2040. In addition, it is cleared that over 40% of supermarkets in some countryside prefectures will be possible to withdraw by 2040. Thus, we estimated future distributions of convenience living facilities that cannot maintain their market area population due to future population decline. Moreover, we estimated the number of people that they will become inconvenience in buying fresh foods.
机译：人口爆炸被认为是世界上最重要的问题之一。但是，在日本，相反的问题：人口下降现在已经严重了。日本人口估计在2040年的二十万人减少。这种负面情况将导致增加许多居民无法在日本居住的地区增加的地区，因为许多便利性生活设施，如超市，便利店和药店，难以保持其由于未来人口下降，市场区域人口。在我们的研究中，我们使用了由地理编码数字电话目录的地理编码而开发的便利生活设施的点数据，并通过分销日本官方人口投影数据的数字住宅地图的建筑物数量，可以监控建筑物日本全部卷。总之，我们估计日本各种便利生活设施将在不久的将来的人口下降缩小和接近。特别是，据清楚，大约14.7％的超市将可以在2040年到2040年撤回所有。另外，一些农村县的超市超过40％的超市将有可能撤回2040年。因此，我们由于未来人口下降，估计不断维持其市场面积人口的便利生活设施的未来分布。此外，我们估计了他们将成为购买新鲜食品带来不便的人数。

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