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Impact of Competition in Energy Market on Promotion of Renewables: An Agent-Based Model Approach

机译：能源市场竞争对可再生能源推广的影响：基于代理的模型方法

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This study developed the agent-based model (ABM) in which agents play the multiplayer game "Energy Transition" instead of human players. The theme of "Energy Transition" is the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables in a deregulated energy market. The purpose of this study is to clarify the impact of price competition on the promotion of renewables in the energy market. Two types of contrastive agents are designed for the model. One is a competitive agent who is aggressive in expanding the market share to make profits. The other is a non-competitive agent who is more eager to invest in renewables for long-term profits than to compete with others for short-term profits. Two types of simulations are performed. In the simulation-1, the total number of agents is fixed and the ratio of two types of agents is changed. In the simulation-2, the ratio of two types of agents is fixed, and the aggressiveness of competitive agents is changed. The results show that the total usage of renewable energy and total profit in the market become smaller as the number of competitive agents increases. Further, more aggressive agents make the competition stronger and largely decrease the usage of renewables.
机译：本研究开发了基于代理的模型（ABM），其中代理商扮演多人游戏“能量转变”而不是人类参与者。 “能源过渡”的主题是从化石燃料到可失调的能源市场中可再生能源的能源过渡。本研究的目的是澄清价格竞争对能源市场可再生能源的影响。两种类型的对比剂设计用于模型。一个是一个竞争力的代理人，在扩大市场份额以赚取利润方面是积极的。另一个是一个不竞争的代理人，他们更加渴望投资可再生能源，而不是与他人竞争短期利润。执行两种类型的模拟。在模拟-1中，试剂的总数是固定的，两种类型的剂的比例改变。在模拟-2中，固定两种类型的药剂的比例，竞争因素的侵略性发生变化。结果表明，随着竞争力的数量增加，市场可再生能源的总使用量和市场总利润变小。此外，更具侵略性的代理商使竞争更强，并且在很大程度上减少了可再生能源的使用情况。

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