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A framework for sustainability assessment of ICT futures: Scenarios and sustainability impacts of future ICT-societies

机译：ICT期货可持续性评估框架：未来ICT社会的情景和可持续性影响

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The rapid development of information and communication technology (ICT) has an influence on all societal sectors and can have both positive and negative consequences. To support ICT for sustainability (ICT4S), we need to learn when and how ICT can enable sustainable development. It is important to take into account all types of potential impacts - environmental and social, direct and indirect. Looking at future ICT societies and their potential environmental and social implications is of special interest, as this can provide valuable knowledge for planning and policy-making today to enable ICT4S. A methodological framework for environmental and social assessment of future ICT societies with a consumption perspective was developed as a part of a joint project with researchers at KTH, ICT industry, municipality and county. The overall goal of the project was to develop five different future scenarios for Swedish ICT societies and to assess the risks and opportunities for environmental and social consequences in those scenarios. This paper presents the framework for environmental and social assessment of future scenarios and discusses the challenges experienced and lessons learned in the process of the framework development. The framework is aimed to deal with a broad and complex object and scope of assessment, the inherent uncertainty and data restrictions of future scenarios, and is applying qualitative analysis.
机译：信息和通信技术（ICT）的快速发展对所有社会部门产生了影响，并且可以具有积极和消极的后果。为了支持可持续发展的信息通信技术（ICT4S），我们需要学习ICT ICT能够实现可持续发展。重要的是考虑所有类型的潜在影响 - 环境和社会，直接和间接。看着未来的ICT社会及其潜在的环境和社会影响是特别兴趣的，因为这可以为今天的规划和政策提供有价值的知识来实现​​ICT4。为消费观点的未来ICT社团环境和社会评估的方法论框架是作为kth，ICT行业，市政和县的研究人员的联合项目的一部分。该项目的总体目标是为瑞典ICT社团制定五种不同的未来情景，并评估这些情景中环境和社会后果的风险和机遇。本文介绍了对未来情景的环境和社会评估框架，并讨论了在框架发展过程中经验丰富的挑战和经验教训。该框架旨在处理广泛而复杂的对象和评估范围，是未来情景的固有的不确定性和数据限制，并采用定性分析。

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