• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文会议>Annual Applied Science and Engineering Conference >The System of Inventory Forecasting in PT. XYZ by using the Method of Holt Winter Multiplicative
【24h】

The System of Inventory Forecasting in PT. XYZ by using the Method of Holt Winter Multiplicative

机译：PT的库存预测系统。 XYZ通过使用Holt冬季乘法的方法

获取原文
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Problems at PT. XYZ currently only rely on manual bookkeeping, then the cost of production will swell and all investments invested to be less to predict sales and inventory of goods. If the inventory prediction of goods is to large, then the cost of production will swell and all investments invested to be less efficient. Vice versa, if the inventory prediction is too small it will impact on consumers, so that consumers are forced to wait for the desired product. Therefore, in this era of globalization, the development of computer technology has become a very important part in every business plan. Almost of all companies, both large and small, use computer technology. By utilizing computer technology, people can make time in solving complex business problems. Computer technology for companies has become an indispensable activity to provide enhancements to the business services they manage but systems and technologies are not limited to the distribution model and data processing but the existing system must be able to analyze the possibilities of future company capabilities. Therefore, the cpmpany must be able to forecast conditions and circumstances, either from inventory of goods, force, or profits to be obtained. To forecast it, the data of total sales from December 2014 to December 2016 will be calculated by using the method of Holt Winters, which is the method of time series prediction (Multiplicative Seasonal Method) it is seasonal data that has increased and decreased, also has 4 equations i.e. Single Smoothing, Trending Smoothing, Seasonal Smoothing and Forecasting. From the results of research conducted, error value in the form of MAPE is below 1%, so it can be concluded that forecasting with the method of Holt Winter Multiplicative.
机译：PT问题。 XYZ目前仅依靠手动簿记，那么生产成本将膨胀，所有投资的投资都要少于预测货物的销售和库存。如果货物的库存预测大，则生产成本将膨胀，所有投资投资效率较低。反之亦然，如果库存预测太小，它会影响消费者，以便消费者被迫等待所需的产品。因此，在全球化的时代，计算机技术的发展已成为每个业务计划中的一个非常重要的部分。几乎所有的公司都是大而小的，使用计算机技术。通过利用计算机技术，人们可以制造解决复杂业务问题的时间。公司的计算机技术已成为他们管理的商业服务的增强功能的不可或缺的活动，但系统和技术不限于分配模型和数据处理，但现有系统必须能够分析未来公司能力的可能性。因此，CPMPANY必须能够从可获得的货物，武力或利润库存中预测条件和情况。预测它，总销售额的从2014年12月到2016年12月的数据将通过使用霍尔特温特斯，这是时间序列预测（乘积季节方法）的方法的方法来计算它是已经增大和减小季节性数据，也有4个等式，即单平滑，平滑，季节性平滑和预测。从研究结果进行，MAPE形式的误差值低于1％，因此可以得出结论，以冬季冬季乘法的方法预测。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号