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AGRICULTURE SECTOR IMPLICATIONS OF A GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION IN THE WESTERN CAPE PROVINCE OF SOUTH AFRICA

机译:农业部门对南非西开普省绿色经济转型的影响

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Agriculture is a vital part of the Western Cape Province economy, yet, it is projected that it will be affected by climate change. In its green economy plan, known as "Green is Smart", the Western Cape Province thus recognises "smart agri-production" as among the key drivers for transitioning to a green economy. This transition will, however, have implications on the food crop production in the Province. The purpose of this paper was therefore to identify an appropriate approach to better understand how the green economy transition will influence food crop production. From the review undertaken, concepts such as systems thinking, complex systems and transition theory seem relevant within the context of the food crop agriculture sector. It also became clear that understanding the behaviour of the Western Cape Province's food crop agriculture sector as a system is both complex and challenging. System dynamics modelling therefore appeared to adequately suit this specific research relative to other the approaches reviewed. Transitioning to a green economy presents itself as a possible solution to help increase the longevity of the Western Cape's food crop agriculture. The next steps for this study will be developing a system dynamics model for the food crop production, which is intended to explore where investments should be made to secure the safety of the agricultural sector of the Western Cape Province. Such kind of research has only been done on a national level and this study will therefore provide valuable information and insights to the provincial stakeholders.
机译:农业是西开普省经济的重要组成部分,但它被预计将受到气候变化的影响。在其绿色经济计划中,被称为“绿色是聪明”的,西开普省因此认可“智能农业生产”,如关键司机,用于转变为绿色经济。然而,这种转型将对省内粮食作物生产产生影响。因此,本文的目的是确定更好地了解绿色经济转型将如何影响食品作物生产的适当方法。从审查中进行,系统思维,复杂系统和过渡理论等概念在粮食作物农业部门的背景下似乎是相关的。它还明确表示,了解西开普省食品作物农业部门作为一个系统的行为既复杂又挑战。因此,系统动力学建模似乎充分适用于相对于其他方法的特定研究。过渡到绿色经济呈现出作为一种可能的解决方案,以帮助增加西部海角的食物作物农业的长寿。本研究的下一步将为食品作物生产制定一个系统动态模型,旨在探索投资,以确保西开普省农业部门的安全。这种研究只在国家一级完成,因此本研究将为省级利益攸关方提供有价值的信息和见解。

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