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Simplified activities model for earned duration calculation

机译：赚取持续时间计算的简化活动模型

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The research purpose to reduce complexity occur by lot of activity items on conducted Earned Duration method in forecasting project duration. The process of reducing activity items by grouping those items result should be on the same population with realization duration. There are two types of data which are S curves of ongoing project and realization duration from construction projects in Jakarta area. The S curve of ongoing project should be used to calculate project duration by simplified activity items model for each project to gain average forecasted duration compared to the realization duration. The result shows that simplified activity items model could be used in ED method to forecast project duration as reducing its complexity without compromising the ability of duration forecast. In this research, accuracy is not calculated and shows ED method using simplified activity items denote that the result of forecast calculation is a part of project duration population. Data were collected only from multistory building projects in Jakarta area. Substructure is not included in this research. This paper fulfils the validation of simplified activity items model to forecast project duration with ED method on a project that contains lot of activity items.
机译：降低复杂性的研究目的发生了许多活动项目，以进行预测项目持续时间的赢得持续时间方法。通过分组这些项目结果减少活动项目的过程应在相同的人群中实现持续时间。有两种类型的数据是雅加达地区建设项目的正在进行的项目和实现持续时间的曲线。正在进行的项目的S曲线应用于通过简化的活动项目模型来计算项目持续时间，以获得与实现持续时间相比的平均预测持续时间。结果表明，可以在ED方法中使用简化的活动项目模型，以预测项目持续时间降低其复杂性而不会影响持续时间预测能力。在本研究中，不计算精度并使用简化活动项目显示ED方法，表示预测计算结果是项目持续时间群的一部分。仅从雅加达地区的多层建筑项目收集数据。该研究不包括子结构。本文符合简化活动项目模型的验证，以在包含大量活动项目的项目中使用ED方法预测项目持续时间。

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