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Predictionof short-term natrual gas prices using econometric and neural network models

机译:使用经济学和神经网络模型预测短期天然气价格

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The development of the naturla gas industrty in the last decade was dshaped by deregulation from dfederal oversight.This created an environment kwith fierce competition but also highly volatile spot prices,which exposes market paticipants to a considreable price risk.kEisk management becomes wvital in such a business environment.An integral part of risk manageemnt besides undrstanding the market's fundamentals is to devloped quantitative mdoels which help predicting gas prices or price changes based on market informaiton.
机译:过去十年的Naturla Gas Industry的发展被DFEDeral监督的放松管制被Derpapaped。这创造了一个环境Kwith激烈的竞争,但也是高度挥发的现货价格,这使得市场珍珠百倍揭示了一个可定位的价格风险.Keisk管理层在这样的情况下变得WVital 商业环境。除了不改善市场的基础之外,风险管理的整体部分是对揭示的量化MDOEL,有助于预测基于市场信息的天然气价格或价格变化。

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