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Study on characteristics of climate changes and potential productivity of five crops in Jiangxi winter growing season

机译:江西冬季生长季节气候变化特征及潜在生产力的研究

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Based on forty-one years observational data (1960-2000) from seventies weather stations, we analyze the characteristics of climate changes in winter growing season that is defined from November to April the next year. Supported by Geographical Information System (GIS) techniques, relative models are built between climate factors in winter growing season and heights above the sea level. In the context of recent decades climate conditions and assumed climate warming in the future, Climate Potential Productivity (CPP) for five winters crops are calculated, with making CPP distribution maps also. The features of climate changes in winter growing season in recent 41 years can be expressed as increases of mean temperature and precipitation and decrease of sunshine hours, the case appearing especially in 1990's. Temperature is a crucial factor in CPP model. Climate warming can improve the CPP. When the mean temperature increase 0.5 °C, 1.0 °C, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C with unchangeable of other factors, the CPP will increase by 2.1%, 4.1%, 6.3%, and 8.3%. For the proportions of actual field per unit area to CPP for five winter crops are only 14% to 21%, it is beneficial to utilize winter climate resources rationally and increase crop's field.
机译:基于41年从七十年代的观测数据(1960-2000)气象站,我们分析了冬季生长季节从十一月定义至4月,明年的气候变化特征。由地理信息系统(GIS)技术支持,在冬季生长季节和海平面高于海平面的气候因子之间建立了相对模型。在最近几十年的气候条件下,将来的气候变暖,五个冬季作物的气候潜在生产力(CPP)也在计算中,制作CPP分销地图。冬季生长季节的气候变化的特点近41岁可表示为平均温度和降水量的增加和阳光小时减少,案例特别是在1990年代。温度是CPP模型中的一个关键因素。气候变暖可以改善CPP。当平均温度增加0.5°C,1.0℃,1.5°C和2.0°C,其他因素不可改变,CPP将增加2.1%,4.1%,6.3%和8.3%。对于每单位面积的实际场的比例为5冬季作物仅为14%至21%,利用冬季气候资源合理地利用并增加作物领域是有益的。

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