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Prediction Studies on the Annual Maximum Flow of the Hanjiang River in Guangdong Province

机译:广东省汉江年度最大流量预测研究

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摘要

With the principal component stepwise regression predict model, and the principal component factors of climatic field, the network data of 500hPa heights in the north-hemisphere and the Pacific sea surface temperature with various regions and seasons, the fit and predicted equation of annual maximum flow of Hanjiang River in Guangdong is developed. The results show that.the equation is so good by the fit of historical record especially in 1960 and 1964 which they have the maximum magnitude of the first and second. The prediction of annual maximum flow in 2002 was also good. So the situation of applicability of model will be good.
机译:通过主成分逐步回归预测模型,以及气候的主要成分因素,北半球500HPA高度的网络数据和太平洋海表面温度与各个地区和季节,贴合和预测年度最大流量方程开发了广东汉江的汉江。结果表明,由于历史记录的适合,特别是在1960年和1964年,它们具有第一和第二的最大幅度。 2002年度最大流量的预测也很好。因此,模型的适用情况将是好的。

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