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A Study on the Relationship between Urbanization and Housing Price

机译：城市化与住房价格的关系研究

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摘要

many researchers agreed that the urbanization will result in the rise of the housing price in urban. This paper conducts an empirical analysis on the causality between the urbanization and the urban housing price through econometrics models including unit root test, cointegration analysis and Granger causality test based on a group of data about urbanization ratio and national average housing price from 1994 to 2004. The result indicates that the urbanization didn't lead to the rise of the Chinese urban housing price. Because of the administrative interference from Chinese government, many rural districts upgraded into city districts directly through changing the name of the administrative division, so the Chinese urbanization actually improved the general living condition of the urban, in addition, rural labor surplus immigrating into urban can't afford to the urban housing due to their low income, therefore they almost had no effects on the urban housing price.
机译：许多研究人员同意城市化将导致城市住房价格的崛起。本文对城市化与城市住房价格之间的因果关系进行了实证分析，包括根据一组关于一组关于城市化率和1994年至2004年的城市化率和全国平均房价的数据的单位根测试，协整分析和格兰杰因果关系。结果表明，城市化并没有导致中国城市住房价格的崛起。由于中国政府的行政干预，许多农村地区直接通过改变行政部门的名称升级，所以中国城市化实际上改善了城市的一般生活条件，此外，农村劳动力盈余移民到城市中由于其收入低，为城市住房提供了，因此它们几乎没有对城市住房价格的影响。

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