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Analysis of the Precipitation Inducing Geologic Hazards and Its Monitoring and Prediction

机译：诱导地质危害的降水分析及其监测与预测

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摘要

Geologic hazards induced by precipitation mainly include landslide and debris flow, while the monitoring and the prediction of precipitation are the key to geologic hazards prediction. Based on the analysis of the precipitation before and after the geologic hazards formation, the effective precipitation and precipitation intensity are chosen as two key factors for precipitation monitoring and prediction in the forecast of geologic hazards induced by precipitation. The effective precipitation consists of antecedent effective rainfall and current effective rainfall, and the precipitation intensity includes that of one hour, 30 minutes and 10 minutes. The space and time scale of geologic disasters forecasts are determined by different requirements for different levels of disasters mitigation. Under the support of different available precipitation monitoring and forecasting techniques at present, the paper discusses how to monitor, forecast and analyze the antecedent effective rainfall, the current effective precipitation and precipitation intensity for the disasters prediction with different space-time scales.
机译：沉淀诱导的地质危害主要包括滑坡和碎片流动，而降水的监测和预测是地质危害预测的关键。基于地质危害形成前后降水的分析，选择有效降水和降水强度作为降水监测和预测沉淀地质危害预测的两个关键因素。有效降水由先进的有效降雨量和目前的有效降雨量，降水强度包括一小时，30分钟和10分钟。地质灾害预测的空间和时间规模由不同程度的灾害缓解的不同要求决定。本文对不同可用降水监测和预测技术的支持，讨论了如何监测，预测和分析先行有效降雨，目前具有不同时空尺度的灾害预测的现行有效降水和降水强度。

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