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Parole Board Personality and Decision Making Using Bias-Based Reasoning

机译：假释板个性和决策使用偏见的推理

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Parole decision-making directly affects the lives of hundreds of thousands of individuals each year. While some research has been done on the offender and case factors that influence the parole decision, little research has been done on the characteristics of parole board members and how these influence the parole decision. Personality is one factor that influences the way individuals make decision. This study simulates parole board members and their personalities, based upon the Myers Briggs Typology Inventory, and how these personalities impact the parole decision. The simulated parole board members used bias-based reasoning (BBR) in their decision-making process. BBR is a proprietary mathe-matical method for automating implementation of a belief-accrual approach to expert problem solving. The results indicated that personality type was important for individual board members in the decision process. Specifically, the 'NT' subtypes were least likely to grant parole while the 'SF' subtypes were most likely to grant parole. Furthermore, parole boards composed of MBTI types likely ideal for careers on parole boards were less likely to grant parole. These findings suggest that personality type is a key factor in parole decision-making and should be explored further. One important example is to examine the relationship between the MBTI makeup of a parole board and the accuracy of the parole decision. If there is an optimum mix of personalities for board effectiveness and efficiency, the offender, the justice system, and the community would benefit with regard to safety, possible financial savings, and the achievement of justice and correctional goals.
机译：假释决策直接影响每年数十万人的生活。虽然已经对影响假释决定的罪犯和病例因素进行了一些研究，但对假释委员会成员的特点以及这些都会影响假释决定的研究。个性是影响个人做出决定的方式的一个因素。本研究根据Myers Briggs类型库存模拟了假释委员会成员及其个性，以及这些个性如何影响假释决定。模拟假释板成员在决策过程中使用了基于偏见的推理（BBR）。 BBR是一种专有的Mathe-Mate-Materic方法，用于自动实施对专家问题解决的信仰权衡方法。结果表明，个性类型对于决定过程中的个别董事会成员很重要。具体而言，“NT”亚型最不可能授予假释，而“SF”亚型最有可能授予假释。此外，由MBTI类型组成的假释板可能对假释板上的职业生涯的理想选择不太可能授予假释。这些调查结果表明，人格类型是假释决策的关键因素，应该进一步探索。一个重要的例子是检查假释板的MBTI化妆与假释决策的准确性之间的关系。如果董事会有效性和效率有最佳的人物混合，罪犯，司法系统和社区将在安全性，可能的金融储蓄和司法和惩教目标方面受益。

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