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A Systematic Technology Forecasting Approach for New and Emerging Science and Technology: Case Study of Nano-enhanced Biosensors

机译：新兴科学技术的系统技术预测方法：纳米增强生物传感器的案例研究

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This paper addresses the topic of anticipating likely development paths for a particular "New and Emerging Science & Technology" (NES&T). Characteristics of NES&T - technological uncertainty and contextual dynamics - pose challenges for technology management and forecasting practices. Researchers, technologists, R&D managers, staff in funding agencies and policy makers "need to know" future prospects. This requires better ways to capture NES&T development patterns, within their socio-economic context, as well as likely innovation opportunities. A new technology forecasting framework for NES&Ts is presented, supported by a case study of nano-enhanced biosensors.

机译：本文涉及预期特定“新闻和新兴科技”（NES＆T）的可能发展路径的主题。 NES＆T - 技术不确定性与语境动力学的特点 - 构成技术管理和预测实践的挑战。研究人员，技术人员，研发管理人员，资助机构和政策制定者的工作人员“需要了解”未来的前景。这需要更好的方法来捕捉其社会经济背景中的NES和T开发模式，以及可能的创新机会。通过纳米增强型生物传感器的案例研究，提出了一种新的NES＆TS的新技术预测框架。

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《Atlanta Conference on Science and Innovation Policy》|2009年||共10页
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Lu Huang; Ying Guo; Alan L. Porter;
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A Systematic Technology Forecasting Approach for New and Emerging Science and Technology: Case Study of Nano-enhanced Biosensors

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