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Prediction of Energy Consumption in Jiangsu Based on Combination Model

机译:基于组合模型的江苏能源消耗预测

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This paper first analyzes the construction and trend of the energy consumption in Jiangsu. And then a non-linear forecasting model and an ARMIMA model are established based on energy consumption data from 1985 to 2007. The two methods are connected to build a combination forecasting model. Finally the prediction results of the new model of future energy consumption are analyzed. The combination model shows a high credibility in prediction.
机译:本文首先分析了江苏能源消耗的建设和趋势。然后基于从1985年至2007年的能量消耗数据建立非线性预测模型和ARMIMA模型。这两种方法连接以构建组合预测模型。最后分析了未来能耗的新模型的预测结果。组合模型显示了预测的高可信度。

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