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首页> 外文会议>International Conference on Remote Sensing, Environment and Transportation Engineering >Relationship between the ecological footprint and the economic growth in China: An empirical simulation based on the panel data model
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Relationship between the ecological footprint and the economic growth in China: An empirical simulation based on the panel data model

机译：生态足迹与中国经济增长的关系：基于面板数据模型的实证模拟

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摘要

Regional eco-economic system is an open complex system with the interaction between human being and nature. As a policy guide and planning tool for sustainability, the ecological footprint method created by Rees and Wackernagel has been widely used with an ongoing discussion and modification. In this paper, by using the panel data model, we improved the ecological footprint model, accounted the changing process of the per capita consumption ecological footprint, analyzed the relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint and forecasted the inflection years on provincial level in China from 1996 to 2008. The results showed that: based on panel model, simulation results fitted well and the coefficients were significant. The relationship between ecological footprint and per capita GDP accorded with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) characteristics of reversed U shape. The ecological footprints of most regions were still accelerated increasing on provincial level in China, not reaching the inflection point. The reaching sequence was east, middle and west regions. At present, ecological footprint growth gradually slowed down in Shanghai, while the extreme points were reached in Tianjin and Beijing. In west, the inflection points would be reached after 2020. As to the progress of ecological footprint, the east was 3 years faster than middle and 7 years faster than west.t)
机译：区域生态经济体系是一个开放的复杂系统，具有人类与自然之间的相互作用。作为可持续发展的政策指南和规划工具，REES和Wackernagel创建的生态足迹方法已被广泛用于持续讨论和修改。在本文中，通过使用面板数据模型，我们改进了生态足迹模型，占人均消费生态足迹的变化过程，分析了经济增长与生态足迹之间的关系，并预测了中国省级的变化年代1996年至2008年。结果表明：基于面板模型，仿真结果很好，系数显着。生态足迹与人均GDP之间的关系，符合环保库曲线（EKC）逆转U形的特点。大多数地区的生态足迹仍然加速省级在中国的增加，而不是达到拐点。到达序列是东部，中游地区。目前，生态足迹增长在上海逐渐放缓，而天津和北京则达到极端点。在西方，2020年后将达到拐点。对于生态足迹的进展，东部比中半年快3年，比西方更快7年）

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