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首页> 外文会议>NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Global Climate Change and Local Adaptation >Adaptation in Coastal Systems Vulnerability and Uncertainty Within Complex Socioecological Systems
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Adaptation in Coastal Systems Vulnerability and Uncertainty Within Complex Socioecological Systems

机译：复杂社会生态系统中的沿海系统脆弱性和不确定性的适应

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The vulnerability of coastal regions to adverse climatic and environmental drivers is well understood and has been demonstrated by several recent events, such as Hurricane Katrina, the oil spill along the U.S. Gulf Coast, and Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar. Trends including climate change, degradation of coastal ecosystems, population growth, and aging infrastructure are likely to increase vulnerabilities in the future. While there may be broad acceptance for including limited climate change-related options within current planning methodologies, new types of tools, policies, and decision-making approaches may be required that move beyond the mainstream processes to reduce risks while addressing the complex nature of these social/biological/physical systems. In particular, adaptation demands a fundamentally different decision regime than the current, historically focused methods. The objective of this chapter is to provide an introduction and conceptual overview to the section on adaptation to climate change within coastal systems. As a result of coastal group discussions in the 2010 NATO-Iceland meeting, we highlight four main points concerning adaptation to climate change in coastal areas: 1. Coasts have a set of layered vulnerabilities that contribute to current and future risks. 2. People matter in the adaptation process and should be included at multiple stages in the decision process. 3. Governance also plays a fundamental role in the adaptation process. 4. There are challenges to decision making in adaptation, but there are also a range of powerful concepts, tools, and case studies available to aid decision makers. Within these sections, we highlight theories regarding adaptation within complex socioecological systems along with case studies to give examples of progressive analysis and planning for uncertain future events. The chapter concludes with a discussion of research and practice gaps for further consideration within the overall section.
机译：沿海地区对不利气候和环境司机的脆弱性得到了很好的理解，并通过最近的几个事件（如飓风Katrina），沿美国湾沿岸的石油泄漏和缅甸的飓风牛肉泄漏来证明。包括气候变化，沿海生态系统，人口增长和老化基础设施的趋势可能会增加未来的漏洞。虽然可能存在广泛的接受包括当前规划方法中的有限气候变化相关的选择，但可能需要新的工具，政策和决策方法，以便超越主流流程，以减少风险，同时解决这些复杂性社交/生物/物理系统。特别是，适应要求基本上不同的决策制度，而不是目前的历史上专注的方法。本章的目的是提供沿海系统内适应气候变化的介绍和概念概述。由于2010年北约冰岛会议的沿海集团讨论，我们突出了四大关于沿海地区气候变化的四大要点：1。海岸有一系列分层漏洞，有助于当前和未来的风险。 2.人们在适应过程中重要，应在决策过程中包含多个阶段。 3.治理也在适应过程中发挥着重要作用。 4.在适应方面存在挑战，但还有一系列强大的概念，工具和案例研究可供援助决策者。在这些部分中，我们突出了复杂的社会生态系统内适应的理论以及案例研究，为不确定未来事件提供逐步分析和规划的例子。本章讨论了研究和实践差距，以进一步审议整体部分。

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