System Dynamics Model for Designing Optimal Water Strategy for Shandong Province of China

机译：山东省山东省最优水战略的系统动力学模型

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In order to meet the projected water needs of Shandong Province in the future, the system dynamics model of water cycle system is designed. The system dynamics model of water cycle system consists of three sub-models: population growth model, water demand model and water suppk model. We use the logistic growth model to forecast the population in population growth model, use the water price elasticity of water demand to show how water usage responds to price change, and analyze the desalinization rate and the purification rate of water to meet water supply. In addition, by using System Dynamics modeling software, various types of models for water cycle analysis can be simulated. The model output shows this effect clearly..

机译：为了满足山东省的预计水需求，设计了水循环系统的系统动力学模型。水循环系统的系统动力学模型由三个子模型组成：人口增长模型，水需求模型和水海防模型。我们利用物流增长模型预测人口增长模型的人口，利用水价弹性的水需求，展示水的使用程度如何响应价格变化，并分析脱盐率和水的净化率，以满足供水。此外，通过使用系统动力学建模软件，可以模拟各种类型的水循环分析模型。模型输出清楚地显示了此效果..

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来源
《International Conference on Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development》|2014年||共4页
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作者
Lei Wang;
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原文格式 PDF
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中图分类 TB3-532;
关键词
Shandong Province; Water Strategy; System Dynamics Model;

机译：山东省;水战略;系统动力学模型;

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System Dynamics Model for Designing Optimal Water Strategy for Shandong Province of China

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