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Simulation Study for Oasis-type Urban Systems Sustainable Development-A Case Study on Wuwei City in Gansu Province

机译：绿洲型城市系统可持续发展仿真研究 - 以甘肃武威市为例

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摘要

Oasis city ecological environment and socio-economic development is the only way to achieve regional sustainable development. The paper takes the use of Wuwei City in 2000-2010 statistics to simulate the next 10 years the sustainable development of the Urban System, using SD simulation model in system dynamics to comparative analysis three simulation program of complex systems including population, economy, water resources, land resources, environmental pollution and other subsystems, and explore the problems of Urban System sustainable development in Wuwei City in the future. The results showed that: only when the various factors within the system have maintained stable development trend, that steady economic development, population growth steady, steady increase water consumption, water emissions control increases, so that Wuwei City will maintain the situation of the balance between supply and demand of resources and environmental pollution, and improve and achieve ultimately the sustainable development of complex n Oasis city System.
机译：绿洲城市生态环境和社会经济发展是实现区域可持续发展的唯一途径。本文采用了2000 - 2010年武威市的统计数据，以模拟未来10年的城市系统可持续发展，在系统动态中使用SD仿真模型对比较分析三种仿真程序，包括人口，经济，水资源，土地资源，环境污染等子系统，并探讨了未来武威市城市体系可持续发展问题。结果表明：只有当系统内的各种因素保持稳定的发展趋势时，稳定经济发展，人口增长稳定，稳步增加水消耗，水排放控制增加，使武威市将保持平衡的情况资源和环境污染的供需，完善，最终实现复杂的N个绿洲城市系统的可持续发展。

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