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Analysis of Influence Factors of Power Consumption Fluctuations in the Process of China Urbanization

机译:中国城市化过程中电力消耗波动影响因素分析

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As the steady and rapid economic growth aggravates the power supply and demand situation, it is necessary to analyze the influence factors of power consumption and establish prediction mechanisms for the power demand by the basic change law, aiming to promote the development of electric power. This paper conducted grey relational analysis for the power consumption from 1991 to 2012 and the relevant data of influence factors, including GDP, industry structure, and population and so on. Based on the above results, it explored various influence factors at different periods, then adopted the GM (1,1) model to carry out gray prediction for the power consumption from 2013 to 2020 as well as the corresponding influencing factors, and finally analyzed the prediction results.
机译:随着稳定和快速的经济增长加剧了供电和需求的情况,有必要分析功耗的影响因素,并建立基本变革法的力量预测机制,旨在促进电力的发展。本文对1991年至2012年的电力消耗进行了灰色关系分析,以及影响因素的相关数据,包括GDP,行业结构和人口等。基于上述结果,它在不同时期探讨了各种影响因素,然后采用GM(1,1)模型对2013年至2020年的功耗进行灰色预测,以及相应的影响因素,最终分析了预测结果。

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