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首页> 外文会议>Conference on Applied Mechanis, Materials and Manufacturing >Exploring the Relationship between Industrial Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution - An Empirical Analysis Based on Cointegration and Granger Causality Test
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Exploring the Relationship between Industrial Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution - An Empirical Analysis Based on Cointegration and Granger Causality Test

机译：探索工业经济增长与环境污染的关系 - 基于协整和格兰杰因果试验的实证分析

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摘要

This paper aims at investigating the cointegration relationship between industrial economic growth and environmental pollutions from the timing dimension by using three types of environmental pollution indicators of industrial emissions and going further to test whether this relationship is bidirectional Granger causality. Firstly, the cointegration analysis' result shows that the relationship between industrial economic growth and environmental quality may not meet the hypothesis of EKC curve. In the timing period analyzed, the relationship is linear and positive. Hence, promoting the relationship to be negative when only relying on self-regulation of the market will probably not be achieved. Secondly, based on cointegration test, this paper goes further to conduct Granger causality test of cointegration relationship. The result shows industrial economic growth causes pollution emission but it is not true vice versa. The reasons possibly include that that the technological progress in recent years may not embody on the reduction of pollution emission intensity, the absence of resources product market, the lack of tradable emission permits market and no effective incentives of green production behaviors of enterprises to react up on encouraging enterprises' development. These generate external pressure to the transformation of industrial economic growth pattern.
机译：本文旨在通过使用三种类型的工业排放量的环境污染指标来调查工业经济增长和环境污染之间的协整污染与环境污染之间的协整关系，进一步测试这种关系是否是双向格子因果关系。首先，协整分析的结果表明，工业经济增长与环境质量之间的关系可能不符合EKC曲线的假设。在分析的定时期间，关系是线性和正的。因此，当只依靠市场的自我监管时，可能无法实现促进关系的关系。其次，基于协整考验，本文进一步开展了协整关系的格兰杰因果关系。结果表明，工业经济增长导致污染排放，但反之亦然并非如此。可能的原因包括近年来的技术进步可能不会影响污染排放强度的减少，资源产品市场的缺失，缺乏可交易的排放允许市场，没有有效的企业绿色生产行为的激励措施论鼓励企业发展。这些为工业经济增长模式的转变产生了外部压力。

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