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The Analysis of Price Fluctuation Cycle of Rare Earth Neodymium Oxide and Dysprosium Oxide

机译:稀土钕氧化钕价格波动周期分析及氧化镝

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摘要

The prices of rare earth products in China fluctuate periodically. In order to figure out the fluctuations rule, this paper chooses the monthly prices data of rare earths neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide as samples from February in 2006 to December in 2017, uses the X12 seasonal adjust method and the H-P filter model to analyze the periodic fluctuations of their price empirically, and acquire the prices periodic fluctuations feature of rare earth products in this period. During test period, research shows prices of rare earth oxide products experienced two periods, the second trough of wave of two products both can be seen in the quarter 4th of 2012. In consideration of the huge fluctuation of rare earth products prices in 2011, there must be a long-term fluctuation period, in which the price of rare earth neodymium oxide has reached 57 months, and the price of dysprosium oxide has reached more than 65 months. As of December 2017, it has not yet fallen. Quotes, but the price of rare earth neodymium oxide appeared a short rise, and then entered the down channel.
机译:中国稀土产品的价格定期波动。为了弄清楚波动规则,本文选择了稀土钕氧化钕和氧化镝作为2017年2月的样品的月价格数据,采用X12季节调整方法和HP滤波器模型分析了定期他们的价格对其价格的波动,并在此期间获得稀土产品的定期波动特征。在测试期间,研究显示稀土氧化物产品的价格经历了两个时期,两种产品的第二次低谷两者都可以在2012年4月4日看到。考虑到2011年的稀土产品价格巨大波动必须是长期波动期,其中稀土氧化钕的价格已达到57个月,氧化镝的价格已超过65个月。截至2017年12月,它还尚未下降。报价,但稀土钕氧化钕的价格出现了短暂的升高,然后进入了下行通道。

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