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Is There a Bubble in the Residential market? Empirical Data from Tianjin

机译:住宅市场有泡沫吗?天津的经验数据

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In order to make a scientific judgement of the bubble level of residential property, the data from Tianjin is taken as an example to make a detailed analysis. From 2000 to 2015, nine indicators of residential property market in Tianjin were selected to analyze one by one, and a comprehensive evaluation system was established. Using the PCA-LINMAP coupling model, the principal component is extracted and the principal component synthesis index is formed. Then the weight of each index is determined by using the LINMAP model. Finally, the bubble measure is completed through weighted calculation. From the comprehensive index system, we can see that the bubble in Tianjin's housing market is unstable, which is greatly influenced by the level of investment and capital investment.
机译:为了对住宅财产的泡沫水平进行科学判断,天津的数据被认为是详细分析的例子。从2000年到2015年,天津居民房地产市场的九个指标被选为一个接一个,建立了一个综合评价体系。使用PCA-LINMAP耦合模型,提取主成分并形成主成分合成索引。然后通过使用Linmap模型来确定每个索引的权重。最后,通过加权计算完成气泡测量。从综合指标体系来看,我们可以看到天津住房市场的泡沫是不稳定的,这极大地受到投资和资本投资水平的影响。

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