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首页> 外文会议>International Symposium on LAPAN-IPB Satellite for Food Security and Environmental Monitoring >Dynamic model of forest area on flood zone of Padang City, West Sumatra Province-Indonesia
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Dynamic model of forest area on flood zone of Padang City, West Sumatra Province-Indonesia

机译：西苏门答腊省巴登市洪水区森林地区动态模型 - 印度尼西亚

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The flood disaster has caused many harm to human life, and the change of watershed characteristic is one of the factors causing the flood disaster. The increase of deforestation due to the increase of water causes the occurrence of flood disaster in the rainy season. The research objective was to develop a dynamic model of forest on flood hazard zone using powersim 10.1. In model development, there are three scenarios: optimistic, moderate, and pessimistic. The study shows that in Padang there are about 13 percent of high flood hazard zones. Deforestation of 4.5 percent/year is one cause that may increased the flooding intensity in Padang. There will be 14 percent of total forest area when management policy of forest absence in 2050.
机译：洪水灾害对人类生命造成了许多危害，流域特征的变化是导致洪水灾害的因素之一。由于水的增加导致砍伐森林的增加导致雨季发生洪水灾害。研究目标是使用PowerSim 10.1在洪水危险区开发一种森林的动态模型。在模型开发中，有三种情景：乐观，温和和悲观。该研究表明，巴东大约有13％的高洪水危险区。 4.5％/年的森林砍伐是一个原因可能会增加巴东洪水强度。 2050年森林缺席的管理政策时，将有14％的森林区域。

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